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Obamacare Delay Would Give Democrats What They Really Want

Obama
In one of author Joel Chandler Harris’ classic Uncle Remus stories, the wily Brer Rabbit avoids becoming lunch and outsmarts Brer Fox by begging not to be thrown in the briar patch – which is where he actually wants to be.

President Obama and his Democratic allies on Capitol Hill are right now playing Brer Rabbit to the Republicans, and they may very well get exactly what they want – a legislatively mandated delay in implementing Obamacare that will allow them to avoid the disaster of launching a program that is in no way ready to go, while blaming Republicans for giving them the time to fix it.

And the Republican establishment, ever ready to avoid a fight on principle, is only too happy to oblige them.

Here’s why a one year delay of Obamacare looks like a good idea, but is actually the worst alternative – particularly for Republican political prospects in 2014.

As things stand now, Obamacare is a train wreck and its October 1 implementation is going to reveal both its policy overreach and the incompetence of the Obama administration.

Small business has already been notified that instead of signing-up online they must fax (!) or snail mail their forms, thereby increasing the administrative burden of the program and delaying whatever benefits it might bestow on small businesspeople.

The Hispanic voters the GOP is so anxious to attract will discover that Obamacare doesn’t speak to them – at least not in Spanish.

And big business has already been given a delay of the employer mandate, which may have looked like a good idea, but actually prolongs the job-killing uncertainty about the cost and regulatory drag of Obamacare for another year.

For most of the past few months, as the Obamacare implementation date of October 1 loomed, it looked like the Republican establishment had opted for cynicism over principle and was prepared to pass a continuing resolution with Obamacare funding intact, assuming that the program would crash under its own weight to the political advantage of Republicans.

When conservatives began to argue that “if you fund it, you own it” and the place and time to stop Obamacare’s destructive effects was on the continuing resolution and before the October 1 implementation date – what Sen. Mike Lee called the "last stop" to halt the remainder of Obamacare by defunding its implementation – the Republican establishment followed their instinct to avoid a fight and began to talk about a delay in the individual mandate as a “compromise.”

If a one-year delay in the individual mandate is a “compromise,” it is a compromise that bestows all of the benefits on Obama and the Democrats, while making the Republicans look weak.

A year’s legislative delay in the implementation of Obamacare is the worst alternative for Republicans – it not only saves the Democrats from the consequences of their own folly – it also prolongs the job-killing uncertainty of Obamacare’s cost for another year.

For these reasons – and a whole lot more – Republicans should either have the guts to kill Obamacare by defunding it, or in what would be an act of pure political cynicism, let it implode and make Democrats own the consequences.

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Strategery

There is a good case to be made that a delay until Oct 1, 2014, actually helps Republicans. It's a good election battle cry to GOTV for the GOP in Nov 2014. I think Reid and Obama will stick to their nihilism, though, and send it back to the House, at which point Whip McCarthy signaled the House will go for a populist strategy--the one they should get, since Democrats in the Senate up for reelection in-2014 will not be able to take the heat, and will go for it.

Exactly right

I am not in the defund or delay camp. I think it should be allowed to be implemented and allowed to be owned by the Democrats 100%. Then you run against it and repeal it the old fashion way... by winning elected office.

And even if I'm not pro-defunding (I'm an independent centrist), I totally agree with your 'defund, not delay' stance... if you genuinely think it is so bad, stop it. Don't delay it. Lots of people on both sides of the aisle respect Ted Cruz for standing up for his principles and not watering them down. What you grassroots ask of the Establishment Republicans is fair and right... all you want them to do is walk the walk and represent your actual real conservatism. It's not like you true conservatives are an inflexible bunch... you're big tent, patriotic Americans open to compromise, you're just tired of being compromised. Most of the time, the Establishment Republicans aren't even offering compromise... what they put forth is capitulation of the values you hold dear. Such under-representation on their part is downright un-American.

The way the GOP is currently handling this, they are actually helping roll out Obamacare to the public, giving it a huge amount of publicity, while at the same time setting themselves up worse for next year's elections. The big government Dems aren't going to be blamed for the shutdown. The small government conservatives are. Shutting down government is rarely if ever a vote getter.

Personally, I think the conservative grassroots may have to let the Dems be for a bit and solely focus on defeating the Establishment Republican element within their party. You can't really take the Dems on much anyway with a divided base. And the Establishment Republicans are going to be a tough fight on their own regardless of the Dems. The current divide in the GOP must be resolved before the party as a whole can move forward. Yes, 1994 and 2010 may have been good years for you, but keep aiming for 1980 and 1984. You have a winning formula. The Establishment Republicans don't. Good luck with it.

Hot Air won't post

I dared Hot Air to post this article. Haven't yet ...

Sad to see how many blogs the Establishment owns.

If only Malkin were still in charge ...

True

It's very sad how many of the so-called conservative websites out there aren't taking the conservatively correct and principled stance of ConservativeHQ.

I'm not even a conservative... I'm more of an independent, centrist libertarian who is conservative-friendly as part of my libertarian beliefs. It's very troubling to see the real conservative ideology so grossly under represented. I just don't get it... most of the rest of the modern GOP (not you here) totally squander a perfectly good political ideology that is time proven to win elections big time. The lack of civility and the presence of extremism among the right these days is very troubling too... because being extreme and being uncivil are NOT conservative values. A lot of the grassroot conservatives get unfairly labeled as extremists these days, but there is a huge difference between being a principled purist and being an illogical extremist. You people have your priorities straight. In the long run, you will come out on top.

Halting Obamacaretax for a year

This would be playing right into the hands of the Demoncrats. They could avoid this until the 2014 elections and people would not see just how much money they are going to have to pay.

Yes, yes, yes!

Dems WANT delay until AFTER 2014 elections to avoid another shellacking like 2010.

Sigh.

Will GOP NEVER wake up?!

They BLEW 2012.

And now they're going to BLOW 2014.

Palin's right, there are already 3 parties:

1. Dems
2. GOP
3. Good Guys