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Presidential Horse Race 2016: Rendall Predicts Joni Ernst will be Donald Trump’s running mate

One subject I haven’t talked a great deal about in covering the 2016 presidential horse race is who will end up running alongside Donald Trump on the Republican ticket.

Therefore, it may come as kind of a surprise that I’m ready to predict who Trump will choose for his VP. Donald Trump’s vice presidential choice will be… Iowa Senator Joni Ernst. (Disclaimer: This is my opinion alone and Joni Ernstlikely differs from others on this publication.)

A few weeks ago Ernst denied Trump’s people had even called her about the vetting process, much less added her to the VP shortlist. We’ve gone from that point to Monday’s off the record meeting between Trump and Ernst at one of Trump’s golf courses in New Jersey.

If Ernst wasn’t there to talk about the VP job, why else would she be in the Garden State instead of back home eating some delicious pork barbecue on a holiday weekend? There’s nothing quite like a little Independence Day conversation to bring the two sides closer to finalizing the pact.

Rudy Takala of the Washington Examiner reports, “Ernst met with Trump at the National Golf Club in Bedminster, N.J., to discuss his presidential campaign and, presumably, the possibility of her selection as the GOP nominee for vice president. Trump earlier in the weekend met with Indiana Gov. Mike Pence at the same location, and on Monday morning, praised both Pence and Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., on Twitter. All three have been mentioned as possible GOP nominees for vice president.

“Recent reports have indicated that Trump might be willing to name his pick for the position as early as this week.”

I’m ready to stake a claim on Ernst now because Trump is fully aware that the best way he can build a winning coalition is to try and run with someone who can potentially address several of his biggest media-inspired flaws as a candidate.

Ernst is a good choice because she’s obviously a woman and helps counterbalance the “first woman to win a national election” narrative the media will advance all the way up to Election Day. She’s also favored by both conservatives and the GOP establishment, is new enough in national politics that she hasn’t been tainted by the Washington cartel and is well-spoken and likable (from what I’ve heard).

I think Trump figures he needs a woman or a minority to balance the ticket and the candidate pool isn’t deep in either case. Carly Fiorina is out of the picture and Sarah Palin would be too much of a reach at this point in history on the gender side.

Just as Hillary will likely choose a white man to run with her to complete the pasty-white elitist Democrat party ticket, Trump will look for gender diversity to represent the Republican Party.

That’s being a tad shallow in the analysis, but Ernst appears to be more ready for the task than Palin was in 2008. Palin is her own self – and many people love her for it – but she didn’t handle the media very well.

Ernst will keep the journalists – and Trump – in line. That’s why she’ll be Trump’s choice. Another reason I think she’ll be the one? Joni calls him “Donald” where everyone else uses “Mr. Trump.”

If I’m correct, you heard it here first. If I’m wrong…it was a good guess anyway, right?

#NeverTrump Over The Top With Holocaust Claims

Whomever Donald Trump chooses to run with him likely won’t make much of a difference to a #NeverTrump movement that has other reasons for continuing to poison the Republican waterhole.

That’s because the recent media dust-up over a Trump tweet containing a six-sided star demonstrates just how far the Trump haters on both sides of the ideological spectrum will go to further themselves and maintain their power base in the process.

The increasingly frustrated emanations from our conservative friends at RedState and (Erick Erickson’s) The Resurgent, make us wonder if it’s really good for their business to be the chief mouthpieces for the #NeverTrump gang.

Especially since they’ve even started using the “holocaust” word.

Steve Berman of The Resurgent writes, “With horror, I am seeing it all happen before my eyes. All the warnings, all the words spent, all the pleading, nothing has stopped this tragedy from unfolding.

“Hillary Clinton will be the next president of the United States, and the Republican Party elected her. Then comes the holocaust of politics and the rule of law. As it all burns, I will do everything I can to help those caught in the flames they ignited to get out alive to fight another day.

“May we all learn by embracing the holocaust.”

Let's be clear to our friends, The Holocaust stands alone as a unique evil perpetrated against the Jewish people, to use it to attack Donald Trump in this context belittles that unique evil. We urge our friends not to engage in this kind of inflammatory rhetoric.

If you listen to the whiners, because Donald Trump won the Republican nomination in the primaries with well over 13 million votes, the Republican Party is in ruins and will never rise again. As for their prophecies of certain doom, the Real Clear Politics average now shows Clinton with less than a five point lead…and it’s July.

If anything, Trump’s ascendance this past year only exposed the utter hypocrisy in the GOP and the deep divide between some of the elites in the conservative media and party establishment and the rest of the people out there across the country who have to deal with the ill effects of political correctness and petty bickering over imagery on social media.

For what it’s worth, Trump insists the 6-sided star was a sheriff’s badge, not a Star of David. I’m inclined to believe him (see below).

They’re preaching to the choir so the choir will continue clicking, sometimes known as toeing the bottom line. If one of their writers even cracked open the door to common sense, the balance of the #NeverTrump movement would collapse.

So they bring up terms like “holocaust” and insinuate Trump is a Nazi. Let’s not forget, Trump’s beloved daughter Ivanka converted to Judaism and his grandkids are Jewish – but #NeverTrump insists, along with Hillary’s crew, that Trump is anti-Semitic. Who’s more convincing?

Is Trump getting kicked around and being called an anti-Semite unique to Trump or could you insert “Republican Candidate A” into the media’s universe and the results would be exactly the same? Or would the media serpents leave the others alone because they’re not loud and adhere to a more traditional public decorum?

Therein lies the fallacy of the entire #NeverTrump argument, that Trump alone is so singularly awful that he will lose to Hillary Clinton because every other candidate would have been more virtuous or controversy-free that they would skate to victory.

This is utter nonsense. If Marco Rubio were the Republican candidate, for example, his body would be so devoid of flesh by the time the media vultures were done picking at him that he’d resemble a partially decomposed skeleton in a horror movie.

Ted Cruz would fare somewhat better because he’s principled and very smart, but the media onslaught would arguably be even more intense for Ted because they know he can’t be bought and really isn’t interested in “negotiating” the way Trump is.

I think it’s about time #NeverTrump ceases with the end-of-the-world rhetoric and comes to the table to do a little talking of their own with the people who can really help them.

Either way, they’re going to have to take a dose of humility and make their readers mad.

Crooked Hillary’s all-clear from the FBI will only serve to magnify the issue of her judgment going forward

As I indicated above, the Real Clear Politics average of national polls shows Hillary Clinton with a 44.9 to 40.3 advantage over Donald Trump. The most recent Rasmussen poll even shows Trump with a four-point lead (an outlier or just a different model for turnout?).

Another poll that came out yesterday shows a virtual dead-heat between the two.

Ryan Lovelace of the Washington Examiner reports, “Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by one percentage point, 41-40, according to a new Morning Consult survey.

“The poll was conducted from June 30 through the July 4 holiday, which comes soon after a private meeting between Attorney General Loretta Lynch and former President Bill Clinton was made public. The Lynch-Clinton meeting spawned new discussion and criticism about Hillary Clinton's use of a private server and personal email address as secretary of state.”

Clinton’s being cleared by the FBI on Tuesday will only serve to focus more attention on Crooked Hillary and her corrupted and privileged dealings with the Obama administration and Justice Department. The Clintons may think this matter will go away, but they’ve really only handed Trump a perfect “rigged system” argument – with ample evidence to back it up – for the next four months.

It didn’t take long for Trump to tweet out the message, either, saying, “The system is rigged. General Petraeus got in trouble for far less. Very very unfair! As usual, bad judgment.”

Expect to hear a lot more about this as time goes on, simply because Trump won’t let the matter go away and he’s now got all the ammunition he needs to keep the public relations cannon firing. The message will get out and it will hit home. I’m guessing late deciders will go his way in droves in November.

It may take some time for the polls to adjust, but Trump is now primed to improve. It’s yet another blow to #NeverTrump’s claim of a “certain” loss this year.

Who will speak at Trump’s convention? Suspense ends today

Finally today, with all the speculation going on for months as to who will ultimately support Donald Trump as the Republican nominee, we’ll definitely know a lot more about the answer with the release of the convention speaker’s list later on Wednesday.

And we already know one former Trump rival will be on it.

Tyler Pager of Politico reports, “Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker will speak at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland later this month, according to a report Tuesday from WKOW, the ABC affiliate in Madison, Wisconsin.

“Walker, who ran for the Republican nomination but dropped out last September, is one of the first speakers to confirm his participation. Donald Trump has said four of his kids and his wife will also speak at the convention.”

You had to figure it would be a Trump family affair in Cleveland. Adding Walker is a good sign many Republicans are coming around, since we know the approved speakers won’t be saying disparaging things about the nominee.

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