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Results For Our Six Bellweather House Races

On Monday we identified six House races that Republicans needed to win to keep the House that could be determined by conservative turnout. Republicans lost four of the six races.

Every Republican, even the incumbents who won, were outspent, some by more than 2 to 1, yet none of the House MapDemocrat wins were landslides, indicative of a “Blue Wave” of opposition to President Trump.

Most of the loses were 1.5 point or closer telling us that competitive fundraising, an effective message and targeting conservatives to turn out and vote could have turned losses into victories.

What we see, particularly in the Brat and Salazar campaigns was a complete failure of the House Republican leadership where, Brat, an incumbent known to be a Democratic target was given little help from the NRCC and Salazar, the perfect “suburban” woman candidate was likewise abandoned in a winnable swing district.

Here are the results of those elections:

Rep. Dave Brat – Virginia 7

Principled limited government constitutional conservative Congressman Dave Brat (VA-7) was defeated by liberal Democrat Abigail Spanberger 50.1 percent to 48.7 percent. Spanberger raised $5,894,232 to Brat's $2,707,910.*

Rep. Rod Blum – Iowa 1

Self-described "Tea Party Republican" Rep. Rod Blum was defeated by liberal Democratic state Rep. Abby Finkenauer 50.9 percent to 46 percent, with Libertarian Troy Hagemen booking 3.1 percent. Democratic challenger Finkenauer raised $3,885,166 to incumbent Republican Blum’s $2,524,404.*

Rep. Ted Budd – North Carolina 13

Principled limited government constitutional conservative Rep. Ted Budd won his first reelection campaign by defeating liberal Democrat community activist Kathy Manning 51.6 percent to 45.5 percent. Democratic challenger Manning raised $3,570,403 to incumbent Republican Budd’s $2,026,781.*

Rep. Scott Perry – Pennsylvania 10

Rep. Scott Perry, a principled limited government constitutional conservative, defeated liberal Democrat gun control advocate George Scott 51.4 percent to 48.6 percent. Democratic challenger Scott raised $1,629,176 to incumbent Republican Perry’s $1,173,664.*

Maria Elvira Salazar – Florida 27

Republican and Cuban-American television journalist Maria Elvira Salazar was defeated by liberal Democrat Donna Shalala who served as Secretary of Health and Human Services under President Bill Clinton for the open Republican seat being vacated by Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen.  Shalala garnered 51.7 percent of the vote to Salazar’s 45.9 percent. Shalala raised $3,402,023 dwarfing Salazar’s $1,542,470.*

Wendy Rogers – Arizona 1

Retired US Air Force officer Republican Wendy Rogers was defeated by first-term Democratic Rep. Tom O’Halleran 51.6 percent to 48.4 percent. O’Halleran raised $2,371,428 more than doubling Rogers’ $1,137,241.*

 

*Latest fundraising numbers from Open Secrets.

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2nd congressional district in Virginia

Please check the amount of money Nancy Pelosi poured in to Virginia's 2nd congressional district to defeat Scott Taylor. DISGUSTING