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Assault on America, Day 560: Listless GOP on verge of letting Dems change American history

Upside down Republicans
A Trump loss in November might not be the end of his political career, and it’s not because he’d refuse to leave the White House

It’s happened a lot lately -- liberals gleefully making hay over a Trump loss in November’s presidential election and then hysterically predicting the electorally deposed president would refuse to leave office. The triumphant Joe Biden would then call on his minions to storm the White House gates and battle Trump-loyal police and military men committed to preserving the power and position of their leader. It’s a nightmare scenario keeping many a Democrat wide awake at night. One can only chuckle at the notion. If liberals are set on being so ridiculous, maybe they deserve to lose a little sleep, no?

But would a November loss truly mean the end of Trump-ism in America? Pundits would jubilantly declare it so, but reality might suggest otherwise. In a piece titled, “A loss in November doesn't necessarily mean Trump won't be president again,” J.T. Young wrote at The Washington Examiner, “Recent poll numbers have not been promising for Trump. Gallup’s latest results showed his approval rating down to 38%, which is 11 points below his Gallup personal high in early May. Considering his improbable 2016 win, in which he lost the popular vote but handily won the electoral vote by virtually sweeping all the close contests, Trump has little margin for error.

“These factors have raised hopes in establishment Republican circles that Trump could be bounced from the White House and their lives. To paraphrase Gerald Ford, their long national nightmare would be over, and the party would be returned to their control.

“The problem is that the Republican establishment is thinking as establishments always do: conventionally. If there is one thing that Trump is not, and never will be, it is conventional. So, projecting forward on a conventional trajectory, even following a 2020 defeat, is a major mistake. Trump easily could return in 2024 and retain his de facto party leader position in the interim.”

I admit, this is one possibility I hadn’t considered up to this point, primarily because I thought -- and still think -- Trump will be reelected in November. Political conditions appear a bit shaky right now but it doesn’t mean things won’t be remarkably different a little less than four months from now. American political attention spans aren’t exactly the longest and what happened last week, literally and figuratively, doesn’t usually matter a lick to the average person visiting the voting booth on Election Day.

Trump still has many things in his favor. First and foremost, the economy seems to be recovering in the manner the president forecasted earlier this year at the outset of the Chinese Communist Party (or Wuhan, if you prefer) virus lockdowns and closures. It’s an odd thing to drive down the street and see businesses with signs indicating “Masks required” and “Open for limited indoor seating,” but crafty and adaptable entrepreneurial folks have found a way to make it work.

The wave of anticipated permanent closures has not materialized, at least as far as I can tell. I’m also seeing a number of “We’re hiring” signs in storefronts as well as near-full parking lots at retail outlets. Who would’ve thought? The tourist sites that are open are well attended.

Of course, with the recent spike in COVID-19 positive cases (largely due to the widespread and irresponsible “protests”, looting and rioting), many governors are threatening to delay or reverse the reopening trend. Such endeavors to stall the economy will only serve to heighten the already considerable angst Americans feel against the clueless political class. And since the decisions will be handed down at the state and local levels, Trump won’t get the blame.

Trump has taken a major amount of flak for his purportedly (according to the pundits) slow reaction to the pandemic and for not “taking it seriously” as the occasion called for. The president didn’t help himself recently by claiming (paraphrasing) “99 percent of cases are totally harmless,” which brought out the full force of anger and cynicism from the scientists, Democrats, the media and never-satisfied professional nitpickers.

Most if not all people I know are taking the coronavirus situation seriously. The president is too. Critics who suggest Trump isn’t doing his part by refusing to wear a mask in public or failing to toe the “sky is falling everywhere and we must shutter everything and hide inside until the magic vaccine is developed and released” line are mistaken. The administration is still working with state and local leaders to ensure their needs are met for equipment, etc. It’s work that’s already been done even if the panic isn’t yet licked.

The media’s repeated attempts to paint a gloomy portrait of the Trump group’s response will wear on people after a while. We’re already seeing it.

Second, the campaign season is just beginning to heat up. With Democrat nominee-to-be Joe Biden starting to emerge a bit more often from his basement hideout, he’s fulfilling the prophesies of political observers who surmised Biden couldn’t keep from putting his foot in his mouth at every opportunity. Grampa Joe did so late last week when he introduced (plagiarized?) his economic agenda, which sounded suspiciously like Trump’s America First populist platform.

Further, Biden’s already exhibiting signs of beginning to crack under the weight of keeping his increasingly demanding leftist base happy while still trying to appeal to the all-important centrist independent voter who values America, doesn’t want the police defunded and thinks government is responsible for ensuring that sign-waving screamers and anarchist thugs aren’t everywhere at all times. Grampa Joe said he “absolutely” backs proposals to shift resources away from police departments to be devoted to high-minded liberal causes that Democrats have touted for decades.

In the wake of COVID-19 and the George Floyd riots, I doubt there would be much public appetite for dumping hundreds of billions more into welfare programs. Responsible citizens are already bone-weary of paying people not to work, especially when many of those receiving the largesse are devoting their government paid vacations to harassing people who just want to be left alone. If the gutless Republican leadership doesn’t cave on the next “relief” bill, there will be real discussions about what the next step should be.

Third, Trump will settle on a winning political pitch in the fall and stop shooting himself in the foot in the process. It’s hard to remember now, but the GOP nominee became much more disciplined under the tutelage of managers Kellyanne Conway and Steve Bannon for the final three months of the 2016 campaign prior to November 8th. Expect to see Trump tighten up his message -- and his act -- when the leaves turn and summer heat becomes temperate fall.

There isn’t anything Trump hates more than losing. Certainly he’ll be open to listening to the moderating voices (concerning his tweets and other personality issues) around him if it means his poll numbers will rise and with them, the prospects of winning a second term. The last thing the New York real estate developer and reality TV celebrity wants to be remembered for is not being reelected, and worse yet, losing to an idiot like Joe Biden.

Lastly, there’s a good argument that the Democrats peaked too soon -- way too soon. There is simply no feasible scenario where Biden increases his support from now until November. Therefore, all he can do is go down. Surveys reveal that voters’ enthusiasm for Biden is pretty darn low by historical standards. Ask yourself: Are people more likely to get excited for a President Joe -- or less likely?

Therefore, Trump will probably never have to contemplate lengthening his political career beyond 2024, but if he lost…

It's Trump’s Republican Party now; he’ll leave the scene when he darn well feels like it

In his piece (linked to above), George W. Bush OMB director of communications, J.T. Young, argued that Trump could very easily come back to run for the GOP nomination in 2024, should he choose to try it. Young indicated that age won’t be a factor since Trump, in four years, will be the same age as Biden is now, and if the political whiners don’t think Joe’s too old… well, put two and two together.

Young also asserts that Biden would almost assuredly run for reelection, and why wouldn’t he? It's hard enough to fathom doddering Joe taking the oath of office next January, what would make it impossible to believe he’ll refuse to give up power after one term? Would the Democrat establishment allow a leftist upstart to depose Grampa Joe when he didn’t consent to go?

There’s precedent for the second-place finisher in presidential elections coming back and running again, including a former president (Grover Cleveland) who actually won a second term four years after he’d completed his first. Most in the defeated fraternity conclude there was a reason why they lost and don’t try to make a revival. But Trump is different.

Trump would never go quietly into the night. If anything, his Twitter presence would increase. Imagine the avalanche of commentary from the former chief executive. The media will go crazy.

Polls show Trump remains hugely popular with Republicans and there’s no reason to predict his favor would erode because the establishment and incredibly arduous circumstances combined to defeat him in the final year of his otherwise successful first term. There just isn’t another GOPer who could come in and replicate Trump’s following -- again, if he chose to run. His family would likely encourage him to come back, since it’s pretty clear if he loses, it was due to the dark powers arrayed against him, including those within his own party.

One final reason: the Republican establishment couldn’t hope to field a candidate who could beat Trump in the primaries. Three-plus years out from the start of the 2024 campaign, it seems the blue bloods would consolidate behind someone like former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, but the grassroots wouldn’t go for it. Haley’s politically correct turn for the worst of late (her treatment of the Black Lives Matter riots) won’t help her either.

The phenomenon that is the political career of Donald Trump still has plenty of legs. The sooner the GOP higher-ups realize it, the better off they’ll be.

Cowardly Republican congressional leadership erodes confidence in the party -- again

As indicated above, there’re still plenty of days, weeks and months between now and November’s election, but time is running out on Republican leaders to recognize the writing on the wall and start aggressively representing conservatives’ point-of-view before the party faithful give up hope. If not now, when? If not us, who?

Rachel Bovard wrote at American Greatness, “[C]onservatism as both a way of life and a political movement is in crisis. And there has been none of the self-reflection, humility, or behavioral changes that should accompany the obvious failures that have led us to this point. Instead, we get furious justifications, condescending dismissals, navel-gazing about the economic theories of comparative advantage. Or worse, blanket apathy.

“After years of our conservative institutions and leaders telling us ‘they have it in hand,’ the last month has unmasked their claim as mistaken at best, and willfully exaggerated, at worst. Apathy and self-righteous justifications will be met by apathy and disgust by the voters in November. The only thing that can begin to bring this movement back to relevance is an intellectually humble reevaluation of how D.C. conservatism lost its ability to create a clear and coherent way forward for those who seek its leadership. But there is precious little time for the ship to begin righting itself. That work must begin in earnest—and begin immediately.

“D.C.’s conservative movement needs a gut check, and they need one fast.”

Ratings-leading Fox News host Tucker Carlson has been advancing a similar message for months now. While Americans watched with jaws agape as mobs of goons marched, yelled profanity, looted businesses, assaulted law enforcement officers, took over police precincts and burned buildings, Republicans leaders in Washington largely kept to themselves, seemingly terrified of the political fallout from speaking up or even being targeted by the lawless malcontents.

Someone needs to step up. Grassroots conservatives are watching. Instead of wasting time by throwing in with leftist non-issues like renaming military bases, why aren’t Republicans taking a page from Trump’s book and vigorously defending American culture and history? What are they afraid of? Is this who we elected?

A loss in November’s election might not spell the conclusion of Donald Trump’s time as president -- he could run again in four years -- but the country will be a very different place in 2024 if Republicans don’t stand up now, support their candidate and enthusiastically champion America’s cause. Democrats never rest; the GOP is too often caught napping.

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