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Assault on America, Day 532: Will GOP ruling class try to replace Trump ahead of November?

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You heard it here -- Anti-Trump GOPers will beg for a new presidential nominee

“In order to defeat the Democrats in November we have to have a nominee who unites the party and brings everyone together, not an egotistical narcissist who lives on social media.” -- Anonymous establishment Republican in a parallel universe.

An old saying goes that advice is worth what you pay for it. The same could be said for predictions, though with the latter there’s usually some sort of factual or knowledge base associated with the forecast that lends it stature and credibility.

It doesn’t take much other than common sense to offer advice. “I don’t think it will end well for you to leap off that thousand-foot cliff,” or, “If you walk into a store with a weapon visible people are gonna freak out and call the cops (unless you’re in Seattle, of course).” Therefore, advice and predictions are similar, though most definitely not the same.

With this in mind, here’s a prediction: with polls showing President Donald Trump slipping in the quadrennial horserace vis-à-vis Democrat nominee to be Grampa Joe Biden of late, we’ll soon be hearing demands by establishment worrywarts for the president to “do the right thing for country and party” and withdraw his name from the Republican nomination, to be replaced by Vice President Mike Pence or some other pol considered more “electable” by the elite set.

If history is a guide -- and it is for everyone except the brainless rioters ripping down statues and tossing them into the nearest body of water -- Trump’s intra-party doubters and foes will see recent upheavals as reasons to punch the panic button and prepare the GOP parachute before it’s too late to exit the aircraft. This prediction isn’t like advice -- it’s based on five years’ worth of observations of Trump as well as documentable precedent.

Outcomes aren’t always predictable, but human nature is. Already there’re conservatives and Republicans suggesting Trump’s blowing it before the campaign season even starts. In a post titled, “A Presidency Is a Terrible Thing to Waste,” Rich Lowry wrote at National Review, “[T]he president has worsened his position with his profligate tweeting, unpresidential conduct, and refusal or inability to step up to the magisterial aspect of his office. None of this is new, but it acquires a different significance playing out against a backdrop of crisis, when the stakes and emotions are elevated…

“If Trump loses in November, it won’t be because he pursued a big legislative reform that was a bridge too far politically. It won’t be because he adopted an unorthodox policy mix that alienated his own side. It won’t even be because he was overwhelmed by events, challenging though they’ve been.

“It will mostly be because he took his presidency and drove it into the ground, 280 characters at a time.”

To be fair, Lowry’s critique doesn’t differ markedly from those of many conservatives these days, observing from a distance that Trump’s big mouth -- and/or his itchy Twitter finger -- are getting him trouble. Again. And Lowry certainly didn’t include my predicted call for Trump to step aside now while the election is still salvageable. No commentator with credibility would advance such a crackpot kneejerk plea for political pragmatism.

We’ll leave it to the #NeverTrump crowd and spineless political chameleons like Senators Lisa Murkowski and Mitt Romney to be bold (dumb?) enough to be the first to compel Trump to remove himself. And then there’s always John Kasich, the “let’s all get along” 2016 candidate that practically no one wanted but still considers himself an authority on politics because he stayed in the race longer than any other contender not named Trump.

It’s been a rough three months for everyone, first with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP or Wuhan, if you prefer) virus situation and lockdowns and then, in the aftermath of the tragic and sad death of George Floyd in Minneapolis, nationwide sustained social unrest. And Lowry was correct about a number of things, including his prediction that many of Trump’s legislative and other achievements would not be prolonged if he loses to Biden in November.

Should it happen, immigration policy would return to its pre-Trump days of non-enforcement; Trump’s judicial appointments would be replaced by outcome-based liberals who’ve never heard of the concept of originalism or the actual text of the Constitution -- and the opposition party would probably take the Senate, too.

All good points. And yes, it does appear Trump needs to alter his approach a bit. Polls taken in the first part of June don’t usually mean much, but the more he slides down the slope the harder it'll be to climb the mountain again.

But there’s no way Trump should be replaced, not now and not ever (well, at least not this year). Simply put, he’s the best Republicans have at present and is arguably the most effective politician of our times when he’s on. The lifelong celebrity and showman understands how to connect with audiences, something he’ll be able to do again once his rallies resume.

There are many reasons why Trump is the Republican Party’s best bet. First and foremost, he looks amazingly competent and “fresh” when pitted against Grampa Joe Biden. The leading Democrat is still mostly holed-up in his basement bunker doing interviews with friendly liberal establishment news entities, but he can’t hide forever. With coronavirus fears easing across-the-board (despite a “wave” of new cases exposed though mass testing), Joe’s ability to delay or cancel his necessary nationwide tour is dwindling.

A good many Democrats -- including former Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe -- have counseled Biden to stay off the trail completely, and why not? If they believe Trump is hurting his own cause by being in the thick of everything that’s swirling all around, it would appear Joe can only help himself by remaining invisible. But the back slappin’, hair sniffin’, shoulders massagin’, nude swimmin’, child repellin’ and sexual assault denyin’ great guy can’t avoid the inevitable.

Trump will find a way to reverse the narrative once he’s freed from his White House home base and gets out among supporters to command his grassroots army marching forward instead of holding back and stewing while their president’s critics tear another pound of flesh. Many of the folks I’ve talked with observed Trump’s one of the few Republicans who’ve actively countered the prevailing impression that #BlackLivesMatter protests are simply benevolent expressions of free speech instead of a cloaked leftist movement to bring down the nation.

Tom Cotton has spoken out. So has Ted Cruz. Where are the rest of the team members? Last week we saw Nancy Pelosi and other Democrat congressional leaders pull their semi-comical kneeling stunt. Why aren’t Republicans rallying around Trump in a similar manner? How about a huge press appearance with every prominent party member or candidate at the White House? If they hold it outside, they wouldn’t even need to wear masks!

Come on, GOP establishment. The choice isn’t hard: it’s get behind Trump now or face being kicked out of power like in 2006 and 2008.

2016 provides numerous examples of Trump returning from the political dead

It's hard to remember now, but there were multiple attempts to replace Trump as the Republican nominee in 2016. For all intents and purposes Trump locked up the nomination after a convincing win in the Indiana primary in early May, which drove Ted Cruz from the race. At that point most conservative Cruz backers (including yours truly) reconciled with the fact it would be Trump or Crooked Hillary. The switch wasn’t arduous.

Leading into the Republican convention in July (in Cleveland, Ohio), several prominent party members announced they wouldn’t attend (John Kasich, George W. Bush, Jeb Bush, John McCain, Mitt Romney, among others), fueling speculation that efforts to replace Trump as nominee might succeed if they could sway enough delegates to leap from the bandwagon. The party looked splintered, but the coup never materialized.

Trump survived and the convention came off pretty well despite the media’s attempts to sow discord and division. But the journalists and TV pundits weren’t finished making it seem as though Trump was a drag on the party.

At the Democrat convention, Gold Star parents Khizr and Ghazala Khan savaged Trump for his tough immigration stances, creating a storm of negativity and media-generated hysteria regarding Trump’s America First and “extreme vetting” positions which he’d articulated to signal a change in the way newcomers would be processed (to weed out terrorists, of course).

Then there was the Hillary Clinton-inspired “controversy” over Venezuelan beauty queen Alicia Machado, who asserted she was “fat shamed” by Trump after winning the Miss Universe title in the 90’s. Clinton needed to change course after her “Half of Trump’s supporters are from the basket of deplorables” speech (on September 9) and her near fainting episode at a New York City 9/11 commemoration.

A couple weeks after the Machado episode fizzled out, a decade-old audio recording of Trump engaging in “locker room talk” banter on a bus with tabloid TV host Billy Bush surfaced prior to the presidential town hall debate.

Again, many Republicans screamed to replace Trump on the ticket, arguing this time he was un-electable. Yet he won on Election Day.

Invariably there will be more hysteria from the ruling class to finally get rid of Trump because of his recent alleged slip-ups in the public relations realm. They’ll gripe and moan about the government’s handling of the coronavirus, reopening the economy and now, the awful unrest and mass protests that have torn the U.S. apart in the past three weeks.

Nevertheless, Trump should stay where he is. The grassroots still loves him -- and that’s what counts. As for the rest? Let events play out as they will. There’s a long way to go.

Maybe Democrats need to think about replacing their nominee

For every Republican you see clamoring to replace Trump on the GOP ticket in the coming months (or at least as I predicted), we should hear a bucketload of Democrats questioning whether Biden is truly up to running a campaign himself. Statistics show he’s one of the weakest party nominees ever. Seth McLaughlin reported at The Washington Times, “Joseph R. Biden may have sewn up the Democratic presidential nomination, but that has not translated into unity in a party where a sizable chunk of voters is still turning out to vote against him in primary elections.

“In Tuesday’s primary in the District of Columbia, Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, who dropped out of the race three months ago, won 12% of the primary vote, and Sen. Bernard Sanders captured another 10%. In Rhode Island, Mr. Sanders collected 15%. In Pennsylvania, he got 18%. In the slate of contests last week, Mr. Biden struggled to top 75%.

“With the country roiled by racial unrest and still dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic, the Democrats’ left wing says Mr. Biden is bungling a chance to stand for real change in November.”

It's true, leftists want ‘ol Grampa Joe to fully embrace “The Bern” Sanders’s agenda including Medicare for All and the Green New Deal as well as get behind the radicals’ demands to defund the police. On the last note, Biden did what he always does with every issue -- he proposed spending more money on police…so they have the “resources” to deal with changed tactics.

Could Grampa Joe be trying to play it both ways? Say it isn’t so!

The “experts” McLaughlin interviewed for his piece predicted Democrat activists would get in line by November, with Trump serving as the primary unifying force for them. But it’s unknown how responsible and frightened members of the African-American community will tolerate being used as pawns in the leftist tug-of-war for ideological dominance in this country.

The whole world has changed in the past few months, which sheds more doubt than usual on pollsters’ numbers. The only thing we can trust is hard data -- and Biden’s not exactly bringing the folks out to vote for him in Democrat primaries.

With differing opinions of late as to how President Trump’s handled the coronavirus pandemic as well as the earth-shattering riots and protests, it’s difficult to see how either party unifies ahead of the all-important national election. Establishment Republicans will never be happy with Trump; hard core leftists won’t accept Biden. What will tomorrow bring?

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Dumping Trump

Rich Lowery bravely states:

“It will mostly be because he took his presidency and drove it into the ground, 280 characters at a time.”

Lowery and the rest of the Conservative Establishment (the guys who couldn't win elections or move the country away from the precipice it now inhabits) never understood what Trump does with Twitter. He has read his Sun Tzu and understands that the art of war (and politics is war by other means) requires he be unpredictable and mysterious. For some reason so many conservatives cannot understand that Trump has his enemies totally flummoxed by his tweeting. He manipulates the narrative, throwing his enemies off their game while they chase after some odd or crazy comment of his.

The fact is, without the tweeting Trump would have been taken out. The media would have been able to muster their forces on a unified attack and Trump would have been maneuvered into answering "when did you stop beating your wife?" With the tweeting Trump gets his message out, confuses his enemies, and controls the news cycle. And he enrages both the Democrat/media complex AND the stuffed-shirt Establishment Republicans/Big Conservative elites.

Lowery is a huge part of the problem in America, as are many of the so-called Conservative movement; they play the game by the media rules, and hate Trump for upsetting a good thing (for them). They have made a fine living as the minority, and don't really want to repair the country because it will end the fundraising and make them do real work.