If the 2028 Democrat primaries were held today… Kamala Harris would win in a landslide
Politics lovers of all shapes, colors and sizes love talking about the future. The 2024
horserace is over and some Americans are already looking towards 2028. Democrats are especially anxious because the next presidential election represents their best opportunity to reverse the current pro-MAGA trend of voters who not only want change for change’s sake – they found a hero in the unmatchable Donald Trump.
It was inevitable someone would ask Democrats who they’d like to see as their next presidential candidate. Senile Joe Biden is so demented he’ll probably hope to run again and pull a comeback comparable to Trump’s from this year. But an 86-year-old Biden isn’t realistic. Maybe Hunter? Democrats would love him!
At any rate, in the early going, Democrats seem to crave the comfort of a known quantity. Brace yourself for Kamala Harris part… five or six?
In an article titled “Here's Who Leads the Pack for Democrats' Choice in 2028”, Rebecca Downs reported at Townhall:
“[A]n Echelon Insights poll went out showing that amongst 14 candidates, as well as a ‘Someone else’ response and ‘Unsure,’ Harris still has a healthy lead, with 41 percent saying they'd vote for her if the 2028 primary were held today.
“In addition to Harris' lead of 41 percent, there's the 16 percent who said ‘unsure,’ Eight percent said Gov. Gavin Newsom, who, like Harris, is from California. Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, who served as Harris' running mate for this cycle, has only 6 percent support, as does Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, who Harris very nearly picked as her running mate, has 7 percent support…
How much stock do you put in this result? Is this a sign of real popularity for the California leftist or are Democrats still in mourning and won’t recover anytime soon?
Was 2024 simply an “introduction” to the electorate for Kamala Harris? Was she the victim of not being given enough time to convince voters to favor her? Was she defeated because of circumstances? Did people feel sorry for Donald Trump because of the assassination attempts? Were voters just partial to J.D. Vance’s beard?
Time will reveal. But for now, at least, Democrats know Kamala Harris, and they seem to like an abortion-touting half black/half Indian female for their standard bearer. Kamala, if she runs again, would begin the cycle with a large lead and other advantages. If the primaries were being held tomorrow – or next year. Was Kamala truly the right fit for today’s Democrat Party?
They’ll never vote for her; she infuriates Republicans, motivating them to vote against her
American voters have notoriously poor memories – or maybe they just like holding grudges – but it wasn’t all that long ago, perhaps less than a year, that many self-appointed “experts” suggested that Donald J. Trump could never win the presidency again because there simply weren’t enough pro-Trump Walmart-type backers to counteract the waves of anti-Trumpers the Democrats would inspire to keep him out of office.
I was challenged by an extremely skeptical former Trump voter – way back when – to find and name one 2020 Biden voter who had switched his or her vote to Trump. Besides disagreeing with his assertion, what was I supposed to do, take a random street sample of people and ask them if they voted Democrat in 2020? And, if so, had they experienced a change of heart?
While conceding I didn’t know any Biden/Democrat voters who’d suddenly gained a measure of common sense and latched onto the Trump train, I figured the Biden/Harris administration had been so awful there certainly had to be some who had opted to turn away from them. Granted, I don’t know a hundred and fifty million voters individually, but as a lifelong observer of politics, I understand that things change on a dime in our political system.
Therefore, the typical anti-Trump argument that Trump wasn’t electable because he couldn’t fill a “big tent” was a non-starter in my estimation. As Trump frequently pointed out in his campaign, his presidency (#1) had been mostly successful prior to COVID sabotaging his re-election effort. The Chinese Communist Party flu bug changed everything, including voters’ inclinations to vote for the 2020 incumbent.
So Trump’s 2024 candidacy became possible, simply because no matter what the Democrats threw at him – and they bombarded him with lawfare, assassin’s bullets, invective, a billion dollars’ worth of cash, heaps of celebrity endorsements and enough establishment media spin to fuel an amusement ride for a million years – it wouldn’t override the fact the Democrats had an awful candidate (senile Joe Biden, then cackling Kamala) and would be weighed-down by high inflation, a gargantuan illegal alien problem (of their doing) and cultural overreaches that begged for a backlash.
Would the same reasoning suffice for Kamala, or is she truly too damaged to run again for the Democrats in 2028? Could Harris pull off a Trump-like comeback in the next cycle?
Anything is possible, especially where Democrats are concerned, but objective analysis indicates a Kamala return is highly improbable, for several reasons:
One, just say it, Democrats – Kamala is/was downright awful. Democrats discovered too late that once the “vibe” and “joy” receded in their collective hearts, they were stuck with a woman candidate who repels “normal” people. The hags at “The View” and my shrinking number of liberal Facebook friends loved her, but hardly anyone “normal” did.
Democrats always start with a built-in voter advantage. There are an awful lot of Americans who don’t care “who” a candidate is as much as “what” a candidate is. Therefore, the floor of Democrat support is about 45 percent. All they need to do is grab that extra five or so percent in the right spots and they’re set.
Two, Republicans will have difficulty replacing Trump (because he’s so unique), but whoever comes after the 45th and 47th president will likely be more “acceptable” in a general electoral sense. For all of his attributes, Trump will always struggle to win over naysayers on both sides, simply because they don’t like his style, or he’s not “presidential” or divisive or brash, etc.
Meanwhile, Democrats will want to tap a new generation of political leaders. They’ll need someone who inspires voters because of what he or she believes, not just because of skin color and gender. Liberals will struggle to come up with such a person, and the 2028 party primaries should be fascinating to watch. But it won’t be Kamala Harris. I’d bet my house on it.
Three, Democrats will cower in the corner for a few weeks, then emerge like caged animals in search of blood. Okay, that was kind of graphic, but Democrats don’t have it in them to cooperate with Trump – or any Republican.
They don’t know any better, right now, than to figure Kamala Harris is the best they have, and she merits another go ‘round in the next cycle. But time heals (some) political wounds. Democrats will latch onto the next flavor of the moment when the time comes.
Lastly, unlike with Trump, anti-Kamala antipathy has staying power. Donald Trump could always go around talking about how successful his presidency was, and most reasonable, persuadable voters, would at least give him another look, even if they didn’t like him personally.
What does Kamala have? She can’t rely on a proven record. She’s about as pleasant as hearing nails on a chalkboard and a mid-sixties (which she’ll be in four years) woman isn’t likely to qualify as a “new face”. Put it this way – Kamala Harris is no Barack Obama in 2008.
She does like Hawaii, though. Rather than assist with the crises plaguing hers and senile Joe’s administration, she took off to The Aloha State, just like with Barry O.
Here’s thinking Kamala Harris will be gone – and forgotten – in four years. Am I wrong?
Joe Biden economy
inflation
Biden cognitive decline
gas prices,
Nancy Pelosi
Biden senile
Kamala Harris candidacy
Donald Trump campaign
Harris Trump debates
J.D. Vance
Kamala vice president
Speaker Mike Johnson
Donald Trump assassination
Donald Trump
2024 presidential election
Tim Walz
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