Western Battlegrounds Break Toward Trump

Arizona a Tight Race as Election Day Closes— Trump Victory Likely, Senate, House Races Hang in the Balance

As the Presidential Election of 2024 draws to its conclusion, at this hour likely to favor President Donald Trump with over 270 electoral college votes projected for the Republican by DecisionDeskHQ and Fox News, the state of Arizona has yet to complete counting its votes with Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris by 0.9%.

In the pivotal race for the U.S. Senate seat of retiring Senator Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ), Republican Kari Lake is trailing Democrat Congressman Ruben Gallego by six points and has narrowed the gap by more than half over the course of the night with additional ballot drops due throughout the early morning.

According to the Associated Press, only three of Arizona’s seats in the U.S. House of Representatives have been projected, those being District 3 for Democrat Yassamin Ansari, District 7 for Democrat Rep. Raul Grijalva, and District 9 for Republican Congressman Paul Gosar.

The closest races remaining in contention are incumbent Republican Rep. David Schwiekert defending his seat against Democrat Amish Shah, and incumbent Republican Rep. Juan Ciscomani defending his seat from Democrat Kirsten Engel. In both races, the Democrats are leading within margin of error as of this report.

However, as previously reported by ConservativeHQ, Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes warned early in the evening that Arizona’s “three buckets” of votes would not be tallied by the end of the night, with only the first of three released at 8 p.m. local time and the second to come at some point after midnight representing the Election day ballots and a third “bucket” coming within the next few days of “late early” ballots or mail-in ballots dropped in lockboxes.

With only 51% of precincts reporting as of this article at approximately 1:00 a.m. EST.

Montana Called With Less than 10% of the Vote Counted, Democrat Senator John Tester Defeated 

In the State of Montana, the election for President of the United States was called with barely a percentage point of the vote accounted for, however, the battle for the U.S. Senate seat of incumbent Democrat Sen. John Tester is still in contention as election day draws to a close with just 20 percent of precincts reporting as of 1 p.m. EST.

As of this report Republican Senate nominee, Former Navy SEAL Tim Sheehy is leading Tester by nearly 20,000 votes, however, the more populous metro areas of Bozeman, Billings and Missoula have not yet been counted.

As reported by WAVY, The Associated Press declared President Donald Trump the winner at 10:00 p.m. EST, rewarding the state’s 4 Electoral College Votes, increased by one in the 2020 Census to the Republican nominee.

The state also gained an additional seat in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result and Republican State Auditor Troy Downing has been declared the winner for the new seat, defeating Democrat John Driscoll with 71.4% of the vote. As of this report, Montana District 1 incumbent Republican Rep. Ryan Zinke is trailing Democrat challenger Monica Tranel by approximately 4,700 votes in a race that is too close to call.

Though Downing has not officially announced victory, he was congratulated by Rep. Zinke who wrote via X, “Congratulations to Congressman-elect Troy Downing! Looking forward to having you as my wingman brother.”

Republican Governor Greg Gianforte handily won re-election against Democratic challenger, Ryan Busse by a margin of over 30 pts.

In a post to X, Gianforte thanked the state and appeared to declare victory writing, “Thank you, Montana! Serving as your governor is the greatest honor of my life. I'm grateful and humbled that you've placed your trust in us for another four years.”

Nevada's Races in Question with Zero Returns Until Midnight After Election Day

As of midnight, the morning after Election Day, the ballots from Nevada are still being counted. With an estimated 80.5% of the ballots in according to The Washington Post, the Silver State reportedly has President Donald Trump leading the Presidential Election against Democrat Vice President Kamala Harris by over 53,000 votes and Republican Sam Brown leading incumbent Democrat Senator Jacky Rosen by approximately 9,000 votes.

As reported by WaPo, one race in the U.S. House of Representatives out of the four representing Nevada has been called in favor of Republican incumbent Rep. Mark Amodie defeated independent Greg Kidd by 22 points in the second district. In the other three districts, Democrat incumbent Reps. Dina Titus, Susie Lee and Steven Horsford are leading their Republican opponents.

Titus leads Republican mark Robertson by 4.5 points, and Lee leads Republican Drew Johnson by an extremely narrow 1.4 point margin, while Horsford leads his Republican opponent John Lee by 8.6 points.

As the races stand at nearly 2 a.m. EST, it appears likely that Brown can reasonably defeat Rosen securing an additional seat in an already established Republican Senate majority. In the presidential race, it appears likely that Nevada will contribute its 6 Electoral College votes to cement the projected victory of President Trump.

Matthew Holloway is a contributor for Conservative HQ. Follow him on X for his latest stories, or email tips to Matthew@theconservativefreelancer.com.

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