While the White House and the anti-Trump media have both often set up unreasonable expectations about future developments in the war to end the threat of a nuclear-armed Islamic Republic of Iran, according to two recent polls the American people are much more realistic about what the future holds for the war.
While President Trump has, in the past, rejected the idea of “boots on the ground” in Iran, a recent Rasmussen Reports survey found majorities of every political category – 66% of Democrats, 59% of Republicans and 54% of unaffiliated voters – consider it at least somewhat likely that the United States will send ground troops to invade Iran.
Fifty-five percent (55%) of whites, 44% of black voters, 60% of Hispanics and 41% of other minorities consider the military operation against Iran so far to be at least somewhat successful. Black voters are most likely to expect U.S. ground troops to invade Iran.
The same survey found among those who voted for Trump in the 2024 presidential election, 88% say the war against Iran so far has been at least somewhat successful, but just 21% of Kamala Harris voters agree.
In a separate survey, Rasmussen found after launching attacks against Iran on February 28, President Trump said the U.S. goal was to destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program and ballistic missile capabilities. Forty-six percent (46%) voters think the U.S. war with Iran has been successful in terms of achieving America’s goals, including 22% who view the war as Very Successful. But 46% don’t consider the Iran war successful in terms of achieving U.S. goals, including 28% who say the war has been Not At All Successful.
Seventy-four percent (74%) of self-identified conservative voters believe the Iran war has been at least somewhat successful in terms of achieving U.S. goals, but that belief is shared by only 33% of moderates and 10% of liberal voters.
That same national telephone and online survey found that only 31% of Likely U.S. Voters believe it is likely that this ceasefire will lead to a lasting peace between the United States and Iran, including 11% who think it’s Very Likely. Sixty-two percent (62%) don’t consider a lasting peace to be likely, including 34% who say it’s Not At All Likely.
If Iran does not agree to a long-term peace deal before the current ceasefire ends, 37% of voters believe the United States should resume military attacks on Iran, but 45% disagree and 18% are not sure.
Seventy-one percent (71%) of Republicans think the war with Iran has been at least somewhat successful in terms of achieving U.S. goals, but that opinion is shared by only 28% of Democrats and 40% of voters not affiliated with either major party.
Forty-two percent (42%) of Republicans, 23% of Democrats and 26% of unaffiliated voters believe it’s at least somewhat likely that the current ceasefire will lead to a lasting peace between the United States and Iran.
A majority (52%) of men, compared to 41% of women voters, consider the war with Iran at least somewhat successful in terms of achieving U.S. goals. Men are also more likely than women voters to favor resuming attacks on Iran if a long-term peace deal can’t be reached.
Twenty-five percent (25%) of whites, 41% of black voters, 44% of Hispanics and 40% of other minorities think it’s at least somewhat likely that the ceasefire will lead to a lasting peace between the United States and Iran. Hispanics are most likely to say the U.S. should resume attacks if Iran won’t agree to a long-term peace deal.
The “prospects for a lasting peace” survey of 1,007 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on April 9 and 12-13, 2026 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. To see survey question wording, click here.
The “boots on the ground” survey of 1,111 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on April 6-8, 2026 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. To see survey question wording, click here.
While President Trump has, in the past, rejected the idea of “boots on the ground” in Iran, a recent Rasmussen Reports survey found majorities of every political category – 66% of Democrats, 59% of Republicans and 54% of unaffiliated voters – consider it at least somewhat likely that the United States will send ground troops to invade Iran.
Fifty-five percent (55%) of whites, 44% of black voters, 60% of Hispanics and 41% of other minorities consider the military operation against Iran so far to be at least somewhat successful. Black voters are most likely to expect U.S. ground troops to invade Iran.
The same survey found among those who voted for Trump in the 2024 presidential election, 88% say the war against Iran so far has been at least somewhat successful, but just 21% of Kamala Harris voters agree.
In a separate survey, Rasmussen found after launching attacks against Iran on February 28, President Trump said the U.S. goal was to destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program and ballistic missile capabilities. Forty-six percent (46%) voters think the U.S. war with Iran has been successful in terms of achieving America’s goals, including 22% who view the war as Very Successful. But 46% don’t consider the Iran war successful in terms of achieving U.S. goals, including 28% who say the war has been Not At All Successful.
Seventy-four percent (74%) of self-identified conservative voters believe the Iran war has been at least somewhat successful in terms of achieving U.S. goals, but that belief is shared by only 33% of moderates and 10% of liberal voters.
That same national telephone and online survey found that only 31% of Likely U.S. Voters believe it is likely that this ceasefire will lead to a lasting peace between the United States and Iran, including 11% who think it’s Very Likely. Sixty-two percent (62%) don’t consider a lasting peace to be likely, including 34% who say it’s Not At All Likely.
If Iran does not agree to a long-term peace deal before the current ceasefire ends, 37% of voters believe the United States should resume military attacks on Iran, but 45% disagree and 18% are not sure.
Seventy-one percent (71%) of Republicans think the war with Iran has been at least somewhat successful in terms of achieving U.S. goals, but that opinion is shared by only 28% of Democrats and 40% of voters not affiliated with either major party.
Forty-two percent (42%) of Republicans, 23% of Democrats and 26% of unaffiliated voters believe it’s at least somewhat likely that the current ceasefire will lead to a lasting peace between the United States and Iran.
A majority (52%) of men, compared to 41% of women voters, consider the war with Iran at least somewhat successful in terms of achieving U.S. goals. Men are also more likely than women voters to favor resuming attacks on Iran if a long-term peace deal can’t be reached.
Twenty-five percent (25%) of whites, 41% of black voters, 44% of Hispanics and 40% of other minorities think it’s at least somewhat likely that the ceasefire will lead to a lasting peace between the United States and Iran. Hispanics are most likely to say the U.S. should resume attacks if Iran won’t agree to a long-term peace deal.
The “prospects for a lasting peace” survey of 1,007 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on April 9 and 12-13, 2026 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. To see survey question wording, click here.
The “boots on the ground” survey of 1,111 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on April 6-8, 2026 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. To see survey question wording, click here.
